Anticipating Turbulence: Security Concerns Surrounding the 2024 U.S. Election

With the 2024 U.S. presidential election here, officials and businesses brace for potential civil unrest amid a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

At a Glance

Military experts and officials conducted simulations to prepare for possible election violence.
The presidential race between Harris and Trump is close, increasing the likelihood of unrest.
Disinformation and delayed results are identified as factors that could accelerate civil unrest.
Businesses and authorities are taking precautions, including increased security measures.
Post-election period considered most vulnerable, especially if results are contested in courts.

Preparing for Potential Unrest

As the braces for the results of the 2024 presidential election, concerns about potential civil unrest have prompted extensive preparations across various sectors. Military experts and state/local officials have conducted tabletop simulations at the University of Pennsylvania to strategize responses to possible election-related violence. These exercises highlighted the need for law enforcement to ensure the safety of polling places and prepare for civil disturbances.

The close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump has heightened tensions, with experts warning of an increased likelihood of election-related protests and violence. Michael Baney, an analyst, noted, “The winner of the presidential election is unlikely to be known on election night, adding to the probability of election-related unrest.”

Key Factors Contributing to Unrest Concerns

Several factors have been identified as potential catalysts for civil unrest. Disinformation, both foreign and domestic, poses a significant threat to the electoral process. The complex ballot counting methods in key states may create false hope for partisans, further fueling protests. Additionally, there are concerns that some local election officials may refuse to certify results, adding to uncertainty and potential unrest.

Authorities in Washington and Oregon have already begun investigating incidents involving incendiary devices at ballot drop boxes, underscoring the reality of these threats. The possibility of politically motivated attacks on critical infrastructure or high-profile targets has also been raised by security experts.

Preparations and Precautions

In response to these concerns, businesses and governmental bodies are implementing comprehensive security plans. Major cities in swing states are considered particularly vulnerable to election-related unrest. Businesses are being advised to prepare contingency plans, including remote work options, travel cancellations, and securing physical locations.

Security companies report a surge in demand for protection services. In Portland, Police Chief Bob Day announced an increased police presence, with officers working 12-hour shifts and canceling days off. These measures reflect lessons learned from the response to the 2020 racial justice protests.

Post-Election Concerns

While Election Day will see heightened security protocols, experts warn that the real concern lies in the aftermath, particularly if the election results are contested. The period between the election and the certification of results, with December 11th as a key deadline for state certifications, is seen as a critical time for potential unrest.

As the nation prepares for this crucial election, the focus remains on ensuring a safe and secure democratic process while being prepared for any potential challenges that may arise in its wake. The coming weeks will be critical in determining the stability of the nation’s political landscape.