Almost 25% of Jobs Added Really Weren’t

Almost 25% of Jobs Added Really Weren't

( – The American labor market painted a more sober picture in 2023 than initially imagined, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed significant downward revisions to its job growth estimates. Analyzing BLS data, the Daily Caller News Foundation found that nearly one-fourth of jobs reported as created vanished through these revisions, amounting to a stunning 749,000 positions.

What began as a seemingly robust year with an aggregate of 3.14 million jobs added across monthly reports crumbled under the weight of subsequent adjustments. The BLS shaved off a collective 443,000 jobs from its initial tallies, and an additional 306,000 were erased in a major August revision. By year’s end, the initial euphoria had faded, replaced by a stark reality: a labor market with significantly less growth than previously announced.

“It’s like peeling back an onion,” remarked E.J. Antoni, a member of the Heritage Foundation’s Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget. “Every layer reveals yet another chunk of jobs that weren’t actually there.” Drawing parallels to previous recessions, Antoni believes the consistent downward trend signifies a methodological disconnect between the BLS and rapidly evolving market conditions.

The revisions touched every month in 2023 except July, casting a shadow over the year’s employment narrative. Even December’s 216,000 job gain felt subdued, with 52,000 of those jobs concentrated in the government sector, pushing the total number of government employees to an unprecedented 23 million.

Interestingly, the magnitude of downward revisions in 2023 starkly contrasts the previous two years. 2022 saw revisions only in five months, amounting to a modest 66,000 jobs deleted from the annual tally. The pandemic year of 2021, however, defied the trend, witnessing a single downward revision followed by a staggering 2 million job additions as the economy rebounded.

“The near ubiquity and scale of these downward revisions raises a red flag,” Antoni emphasized. “If not a downturn, something else must be driving this consistent, significant underestimation. The BLS methodologies need scrutiny.”

The Daily Caller News Foundation reached out to the BLS for comment, but no immediate response was available. As concerns linger about the accuracy of 2023’s job growth figures, the question remains: will these revisions rewrite the narrative of the American labor market, or are they mere statistical blips in an otherwise robust job story? Only time and further analysis will tell.

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